When was the current long-range forecast system implemented? | System name: JMA/MRI-CPS2 Implemented: June 2015 |
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Is it a coupled forecast system? | Yes |
Is it a Tier-2 forecast system? | No |
Atmospheric model resolution | TL159L60 |
Ocean model (if applicable) | MRI.COM :1.0° in longitude, 0.3°-0.5°in latitude, 53 levels |
Source of atmospheric initial conditions | JRA-55(Japanese 55-year Reanalysis) |
Source of ocean initial conditions | MOVE/MRI.COM-G2(Ocean Data Assimilation) |
If Tier-2, what is the source of SST predictions? | N/A |
Hindcast period | 1979-2014 |
Ensemble size for the hindcasts | 10 members (from 2 different initial dates, the middle and end of each month) |
How is the hindcast ensemble configured? | Combination of Breeding of Growing Modes(BGM) and Lagged Average Forecast(LAF) methods |
Ensemble size for the forecast | 51 members (from 4 different initial dates, every 5 days) |
How is the forecast ensemble configured? | Combination of Breeding of Growing Modes(BGM) and Lagged Average Forecast (LAF) methods http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/outline/cps2_description.html |
Length of forecasts | 7 months |
Data format | GRIB 2 |
What is the latest date predicted anomalies for the next month/season become available? | About 25th of the current month |
How are the forecast anomalies constructed? | Departures from the model climate estimated by the hindcast integrations |
URL where forecast are displayed | http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/index.html |
Point of Contact | Mr. Yuhei Takaya (ytakaya@met.kishou.go.jp) |