When was the current long-range forecast system implemented? | Jan. 2016 |
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Is it a coupled forecast system? | Yes |
Is it a Tier-2 forecast system? | No |
Atmospheric model resolution | T106 (about 110 km) , 26 vertical levels |
Ocean model (if applicable) | MOM4 with a 1°/3-1° horizontal resolution, 40 vertical levels |
Source of atmospheric initial conditions | NCEP air temperature and U- and V-velocity reanalysis |
Source of ocean initial conditions | BCC Global Ocean Data Assimilation System analysis |
If Tier-2, what is the source of SST predictions? | N/A |
Hindcast period | 1991-2010 |
Ensemble size for the hindcasts | 24 ensemble members |
How is the hindcast ensemble configured? | 15 LAF members and 9 SVD members |
Ensemble size for the forecast | 24 ensemble members |
How is the forecast ensemble configured? | 15 LAF members and 9 SVD members |
Length of forecasts | 13 months |
Data format | NetCDF |
What is the latest date predicted anomalies for the next month/season become available? | Before 12th every month |
How are the forecast anomalies constructed? | Remove the 20-yr monthly climatological mean |
URL where forecast are displayed | http://cmdp.ncc-cma.net/eng/index.php?channel=16 |
Point of Contact | bcc@cma.gov.cn |